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Red18
65477.8
458721.4
71157.7
Blue42
526119.8
258514.6
542717.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33361020304050601842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.5
17.315.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End5.4
red by 1.6
19.80.6
11.211.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.7
End4.6
Second
6547
#33
7.81.5
7.25.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End2.1
blue by 9.1
5427
#22
17.00.6
14.214.7
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Third
7115
#28
7.71.5
6.75.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 6.9
14.60.6
8.59.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed