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Red40
741013.9
432816.1
749214.7
Blue0
71157.7
59239.4
125516.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32400102050607080400

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4328
#12
16.10.6
10.110.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End3.8
blue by 0.5
1255
#10
16.64.2
14.19.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End6.0
Second
14.711.2
22.411.2
Auto2.3
Teleop6.1
End6.3
red by 5.3
5923
#32DQ
9.44.2
12.17.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End1.9
Third
7410
#27
13.94.0
15.111.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End3.3
red by 6.3
7115
#28
7.74.2
11.57.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed