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Red27
75109.2
458721.4
664513.5
Blue6
74409.5
333513.9
310310.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41390206080100276

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.3
16.915.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.4
End5.4
red by 7.5
3335
#24
13.93.5
13.810.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End3.9
Second
6645
#21
13.51.3
12.110.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.5
End3.8
red by 2.7
3103
#30
10.83.5
13.39.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.6
End2.9
Third
7510
#17
9.22.5
11.28.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End1.6
blue by 0.4
7440
#25
9.52.9
9.66.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed