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Red50
354512.4
72648.0
637725.3
Blue24
6536.6
437815.2
775011.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4736102030406070805024

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.3
23.924.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.4
End8.8
red by 10.1
15.20.7
14.614.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Second
3545
#25
12.40.3
10.610.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End2.6
red by 0.8
7750
#27
11.60.7
11.711.1
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Third
7264
#29
8.00.3
10.410.7
Auto3.2
Teleop2.1
End2.7
red by 1.5
653
#40
6.60.7
7.46.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed