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Red43
618010.9
181721.0
680020.4
Blue38
406326.6
589415.2
44124.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4848384042444650524338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.2
17.517.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End5.4
blue by 5.7
26.60.5
25.725.2
Auto3.4
Teleop12.1
End11.2
Second
6800
#26
20.40.2
17.217.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End3.1
red by 5.2
5894
#23
15.20.5
16.215.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End3.7
Third
6180
#15
10.90.2
10.910.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
red by 6.8
4412
#38
4.20.5
3.63.1
Auto0.3
Teleop2.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned