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Red55
557220.8
45716.2
463910.8
Blue41
708813.8
596019.6
572610.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4645303540505560655541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
#10
20.80.8
19.620.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.6
End3.4
red by 1.2
5960
#14
19.60.3
19.819.5
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Second
457
#9
16.20.8
12.813.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End3.2
red by 2.4
7088
#34
13.80.3
12.312.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End3.3
Third
4639
#22
10.80.8
10.911.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.9
red by 0.6
5726
#31
10.20.3
10.410.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed