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Red60
147720.1
68309.5
473413.9
Blue53
399712.6
713811.2
589225.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4249203060706053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.3
19.721.0
Auto3.8
Teleop8.0
End8.2
blue by 5.1
25.20.2
25.625.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.0
End6.9
Second
4734
#20
13.91.3
12.313.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End3.7
red by 1.3
3997
#12
12.60.2
9.810.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Third
6830
#28
9.51.3
8.29.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 1.7
7138
#39
11.20.2
10.911.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
56%HAB Docking oddsEarned39%HAB Docking oddsMissed