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Red42
469411.8
598614.1
68309.5
Blue46
399712.6
618010.9
749217.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364101020305060704246

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5986
#19
14.10.5
14.615.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 2.9
17.00.3
16.116.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.5
End5.6
Second
4694
#21
11.80.5
10.611.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 0.8
3997
#12
12.60.3
11.311.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Third
6830
#28
9.50.5
8.89.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 1.5
6180
#15
10.90.3
11.211.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed