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Red32
572610.2
463910.8
713811.2
Blue56
631517.6
348119.4
693514.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3553102030406070803256

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7138
#39
11.20.5
12.011.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 8.2
3481
#37
19.40.2
19.920.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Second
4639
#22
10.80.5
11.410.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End2.9
blue by 6.8
6315
#33
17.60.2
15.415.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.7
End4.2
Third
5726
#31
10.20.5
9.99.4
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End2.2
blue by 4.5
6935
#18
14.60.2
14.714.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed