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Red34
541123.6
280513.0
505710.8
Blue50
667227.4
753511.9
71209.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4340203050603450

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.4
20.219.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End5.9
blue by 3.8
27.40.8
21.222.1
Auto6.1
Teleop14.7
End6.6
Second
2805
#16
13.00.4
8.27.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End2.3
red by 1.1
11.90.8
8.18.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End3.4
Third
5057
#22
10.80.4
11.911.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End3.5
red by 1.5
7120
#38
9.20.8
8.39.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsEarned