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Red49
730311.1
419219.7
367622.9
Blue41
77497.0
712119.1
568212.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454120305060704941

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.2
20.520.7
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End3.0
red by 3.8
7121
#10
19.10.2
17.517.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End4.7
Second
4192
#12
19.70.2
14.714.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End6.8
red by 6.9
5682
#18
12.80.2
13.914.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
7303
#15
11.10.2
7.88.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End2.6
red by 4.2
7749
#39
7.00.3
7.17.4
Auto3.7
Teleop1.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed