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Red40
436412.8
541123.6
613311.0
Blue35
419219.7
690119.0
77497.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4846303540505560654035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.3
20.520.2
Auto3.2
Teleop14.5
End5.9
red by 3.9
4192
#12
19.70.6
16.115.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End6.8
Second
4364
#29
12.80.3
13.813.5
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End2.8
blue by 6.2
19.00.6
17.316.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End4.2
Third
6133
#23
11.00.4
10.810.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 4.0
7749
#39
7.02.2
7.09.1
Auto3.7
Teleop1.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsEarned