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Red30
70417.6
77048.7
296910.2
Blue20
52126.7
420614.3
71209.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343120253035403020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
#14
17.60.1
16.516.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End2.5
red by 3.3
4206
#13
14.30.6
14.113.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.6
Second
2969
#24
10.20.1
5.35.2
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End1.8
red by 0.9
7120
#38
9.20.6
8.98.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End2.3
Third
7704
#19
8.71.2
8.79.9
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
red by 2.0
5212
#25DQ
6.70.7
6.76.0
Auto1.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed