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Red37
129621.1
52126.7
568212.8
Blue33
770812.9
337011.4
753410.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45381020305060703733

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.4
20.820.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.2
End3.5
red by 8.2
7708
#17
12.90.2
13.213.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.8
End3.3
Second
5682
#18
12.80.4
14.614.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 1.4
3370
#31
11.40.2
11.511.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End2.9
Third
5212
#25
6.70.4
7.06.7
Auto1.2
Teleop6.1
End-0.6
blue by 4.1
7534
#37
10.70.2
10.910.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed