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Red41
665516.0
613311.0
524220.0
Blue58
367622.9
505710.8
328210.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514520304060704158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.5
21.921.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.8
End3.2
blue by 2.9
22.91.0
23.324.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End3.0
Second
6655
#26
16.00.5
14.714.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End3.1
red by 5.1
3282
#21
10.91.0
10.111.1
Auto5.3
Teleop2.6
End3.1
Third
6133
#23
11.00.5
11.411.0
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End2.0
red by 0.2
5057
#22
10.81.0
9.610.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsEarned