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Red20
56135.9
430114.5
66829.8
Blue29
415318.9
754011.4
76495.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2626101520303540452029

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4301
#23
14.50.4
8.48.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.2
blue by 4.4
18.90.3
12.713.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End5.9
Second
6682
#11
9.80.4
7.57.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
blue by 1.5
7540
#13
11.40.3
8.08.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.7
End3.0
Third
5.90.4
7.57.1
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End3.0
red by 0.1
7649
#22
5.70.3
5.65.9
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed