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Red15
432810.1
504711.0
586614.2
Blue30
697413.8
336611.4
47998.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2927010204050601530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.21.4
10.08.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.7
red by 0.4
6974
#19
13.80.1
6.87.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Second
5047
#20
11.01.4
10.59.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End3.7
blue by 0.4
3366
#16
11.40.1
11.811.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Third
4328
#18
10.11.4
6.75.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.8
End2.2
red by 1.9
4799
#17
8.20.1
7.17.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed