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Red11
75335.8
415318.9
697413.8
Blue24
727112.6
77509.9
76495.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352401020304050601124

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.92.4
15.112.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End5.9
red by 6.3
12.60.2
9.79.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Second
6974
#19
13.82.4
13.310.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.8
red by 3.8
7750
#12
9.90.2
7.57.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End3.3
Third
7533
#25
5.82.4
4.42.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End1.3
red by 0.1
7649
#22
5.70.2
5.25.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed