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Red52
11831.6
578311.9
56135.9
Blue48
47998.2
406323.8
336611.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50381020306070805248

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
31.60.5
27.027.5
Auto4.7
Teleop19.1
End7.7
red by 7.8
23.81.4
20.722.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.0
End8.2
Second
11.90.5
14.314.9
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.6
red by 0.5
3366
#16
11.41.4
9.911.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End3.3
Third
5.90.5
6.06.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End3.0
blue by 2.4
4799
#17
8.21.4
5.06.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsEarned