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Red36
47998.2
430114.5
47176.4
Blue39
66829.8
432810.1
727112.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2326102030403639

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4301
#23
14.51.5
9.511.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.2
red by 1.9
12.61.4
9.811.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.8
Second
4799
#17
8.21.5
6.47.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End2.5
blue by 1.9
4328
#18
10.11.4
7.69.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Third
4717
#24
6.41.5
5.97.4
Auto2.8
Teleop2.8
End0.8
blue by 3.4
6682
#11
9.81.4
7.69.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed