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Red21
4577.9
336611.4
116414.4
Blue21
76495.7
614415.0
56135.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342710203040502121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1164
#14
14.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End3.3
blue by 0.6
15.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End7.3
Second
3366
#16
11.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 5.6
5.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End3.0
Third
457
#15
7.9
Auto3.6
Teleop1.8
End2.6
red by 2.2
7649
#22
5.7
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned