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Red30
504711.0
727112.6
56135.9
Blue22
76495.7
578311.9
432810.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2930202535403022

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.60.3
11.911.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End2.8
red by 0.7
11.90.6
14.013.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Second
5047
#20
11.00.3
9.28.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.5
End3.7
red by 0.9
4328
#18
10.10.6
9.69.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Third
5.90.4
6.66.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End3.0
red by 0.1
7649
#22
5.70.6
4.74.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed