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Red32
586614.2
66829.8
261310.8
Blue24
116414.4
75335.8
430114.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260102040503224

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.20.2
12.212.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.1
End3.7
blue by 0.3
4301
#23
14.50.0
11.711.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Second
2613
#21
10.80.2
9.59.6
Auto3.6
Teleop2.2
End5.0
blue by 3.6
1164
#14
14.40.0
10.910.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End3.3
Third
6682
#11
9.80.2
8.38.5
Auto2.6
Teleop3.3
End3.9
red by 4.1
7533
#25
5.80.0
1.81.8
Auto1.4
Teleop3.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed