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Red39
6479.2
458722.9
524220.2
Blue24
635713.4
65268.4
429513.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463820305060703924

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
22.90.3
21.421.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End7.1
red by 9.4
6357
#42
13.40.8
15.614.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Second
5242
#13
20.20.5
13.813.3
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End4.0
red by 7.1
4295
#21
13.11.3
11.610.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Third
647
#32
9.20.3
8.38.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.6
End3.2
red by 0.8
6526
#25
8.40.8
8.47.7
Auto2.6
Teleop3.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed