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Red85
731912.1
717926.8
331035.1
Blue47
750317.6
588812.8
543128.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions685740506080908547

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.4
31.733.1
Auto4.1
Teleop24.1
End7.0
red by 6.8
28.30.5
25.424.9
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End8.4
Second
7179
#12
26.81.6
23.424.9
Auto5.3
Teleop18.1
End3.4
red by 9.1
7503
#22
17.60.5
15.014.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Third
7319
#23
12.11.4
8.910.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 0.8
5888
#37
12.80.5
13.813.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsEarned