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Red68
384729.4
374314.7
750317.6
Blue47
174514.4
300525.3
751011.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544020305060706847

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.41.1
24.225.3
Auto4.9
Teleop20.7
End3.7
red by 4.1
3005
#18
25.30.6
16.717.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End5.5
Second
7503
#22
17.61.1
14.916.0
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End3.9
red by 3.2
1745
#36
14.40.6
12.613.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.1
End4.7
Third
3743
#14
14.71.1
11.812.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.9
red by 3.5
7510
#31
11.20.6
8.49.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsEarned