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Red54
617117.2
731912.1
541120.5
Blue35
380222.7
635713.4
770813.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4249203060705435

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#16
20.51.6
15.517.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End5.6
blue by 2.2
3802
#20
22.70.7
20.820.1
Auto2.8
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
6171
#17
17.20.9
13.514.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.1
red by 3.3
7708
#39
13.91.2
11.610.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Third
7319
#23
12.10.9
10.811.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.7
End3.5
blue by 1.4
6357
#42
13.40.7
13.713.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed