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Red69
300525.3
676816.2
590811.8
Blue66
617117.2
751110.7
458722.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455010203040607080906966

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#18
25.31.8
19.020.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End5.5
red by 2.4
4587
#11
22.91.0
21.923.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End7.1
Second
6768
#28
16.21.8
11.413.1
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End5.8
blue by 1.0
6171
#17
17.21.0
15.516.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Third
5908
#26
11.82.9
12.315.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 1.1
7511
#24
10.71.0
10.311.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsEarned