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Red88
541120.5
384729.4
429513.1
Blue30
374314.7
588812.8
215817.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58482030407080908830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.41.5
25.927.5
Auto4.9
Teleop20.7
End3.7
red by 12.3
2158
#30
17.01.1
18.117.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.4
End3.6
Second
5411
#16
20.52.6
18.621.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.6
End5.6
red by 5.8
3743
#14
14.71.1
13.812.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End2.9
Third
4295
#21
13.12.6
10.212.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9
red by 0.2
5888
#37
12.81.1
13.912.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed