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Red14
751110.7
635713.4
676816.2
Blue40
429513.1
717926.8
582912.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394801020306070801440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6768
#28
16.21.6
10.99.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.9
End5.8
blue by 10.6
7179
#12
26.80.4
24.924.6
Auto5.3
Teleop18.1
End3.4
Second
6357
#42
13.41.6
14.813.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.3
End2.8
red by 0.4
4295
#21
13.10.6
10.39.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.9
Third
7511
#24
10.71.6
11.610.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End3.3
blue by 1.9
5829
#34
12.60.4
10.29.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed