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Red39
617117.2
750317.6
770813.9
Blue92
258223.6
712116.9
384729.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3957102030507080903992

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7503
#22
17.60.2
14.514.7
Auto5.8
Teleop8.0
End3.9
blue by 11.7
29.41.4
23.324.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.7
End3.7
Second
6171
#17
17.20.2
12.112.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End2.1
blue by 6.4
23.61.5
18.920.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.9
End9.0
Third
7708
#39
13.90.3
10.010.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 2.9
7121
#15
16.92.3
11.313.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned