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Red45
125515.7
611115.8
258516.0
Blue30
526118.5
592311.9
74409.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4840203060704530

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2585
#23
16.00.0
14.814.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End3.5
blue by 2.5
5261
#26
18.50.6
19.619.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.4
End2.9
Second
15.80.0
14.414.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End2.8
red by 4.0
5923
#30
11.90.5
9.89.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Third
15.70.0
15.915.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End5.9
red by 6.1
7440
#20
9.60.5
8.78.1
Auto4.8
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed