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Red50
23127.7
64886.9
741015.1
Blue47
731215.6
258719.9
310314.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4942203060705047

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#2
27.70.3
25.025.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End6.1
red by 7.8
19.90.5
18.218.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.3
Second
7410
#27
15.10.3
13.413.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End2.5
blue by 0.5
7312
#15
15.60.5
11.311.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End4.2
Third
6488
#18
6.90.3
7.88.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
blue by 7.3
3103
#32
14.10.5
10.210.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed