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Red60
429520.2
769117.7
288216.4
Blue67
711512.2
541429.9
590812.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5453354045506065706067

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.20.6
18.318.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End5.8
blue by 9.7
29.90.7
28.329.0
Auto3.9
Teleop17.5
End8.6
Second
7691
#25
17.70.7
16.417.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End3.6
red by 5.5
7115
#13
12.20.7
11.612.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
2882
#12
16.40.6
16.216.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 4.2
5908
#31
12.20.7
10.411.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsMissed