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Red61
75188.6
23127.7
258719.9
Blue64
11835.2
64886.9
29509.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595120304070806164

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#2
27.70.3
27.027.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.3
End6.1
blue by 7.5
118
#1
35.20.6
33.834.5
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End9.7
Second
19.90.3
20.621.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.3
red by 10.5
2950
#29
9.40.6
8.59.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End2.9
Third
7518
#16
8.60.3
8.68.9
Auto4.5
Teleop1.4
End2.8
red by 1.8
6488
#18
6.90.6
6.16.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed29%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed56%HAB Docking oddsEarned