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Red64
258719.9
541429.9
761610.1
Blue53
288216.4
288119.9
125515.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64542040801006453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.4
29.028.6
Auto3.9
Teleop17.5
End8.6
red by 10.0
19.90.1
19.319.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End4.9
Second
19.90.4
21.020.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End3.3
red by 3.6
2882
#12
16.40.1
16.917.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Third
7616
#28
10.10.4
10.510.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.3
End1.9
blue by 5.6
15.70.1
15.315.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned62%HAB Docking oddsEarned