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Red79
664515.4
654714.0
11835.2
Blue48
590812.2
592311.9
302910.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65300204060807948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
35.21.2
34.535.7
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End9.7
red by 23.0
5908
#31
12.21.3
11.112.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End3.5
Second
6645
#22
15.41.2
14.215.4
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.7
red by 3.5
5923
#30
11.91.3
10.611.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End1.9
Third
6547
#24
14.01.2
12.513.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End3.5
red by 3.5
3029
#14
10.51.3
7.28.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
29%Rocket oddsEarned3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed