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Red40
71199.7
614417.9
70416.5
Blue43
271420.9
543125.4
568212.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39441020305060704043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.90.2
14.314.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End9.6
blue by 7.5
25.40.2
16.316.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.9
End8.1
Second
704
#14
16.50.3
9.59.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End3.5
blue by 4.5
20.90.1
16.316.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Third
7119
#32
9.70.3
13.213.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
blue by 2.7
5682
#21
12.40.2
9.49.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsEarned