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Red33
667220.8
550317.1
65268.4
Blue6
73198.9
436413.8
71208.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403101020506070336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.5
16.415.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 7.0
4364
#19
13.82.6
11.08.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.0
End4.3
Second
17.10.3
12.712.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.0
End3.8
red by 8.2
7319
#33
8.92.6
9.97.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End2.5
Third
6526
#25
8.40.5
8.68.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 0.5
7120
#23
8.92.6
8.35.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed