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Red56
461023.8
667220.8
32829.2
Blue43
541713.8
67519.9
665512.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453820305060705643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#13
23.80.2
21.021.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End1.3
red by 10.0
13.80.6
14.714.1
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Second
20.80.4
15.716.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 7.8
6655
#24
12.91.0
11.210.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End0.8
Third
3282
#31
9.20.4
5.86.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 0.7
6751
#26
9.91.0
10.19.1
Auto5.0
Teleop2.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed