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Red41
717923.4
419216.1
65268.4
Blue42
70416.5
505711.3
750315.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4132205060704142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.2
18.819.0
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End2.4
red by 6.9
704
#14
16.51.3
12.413.7
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Second
4192
#29
16.10.2
11.511.7
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End4.1
red by 1.1
7503
#22
15.01.3
10.011.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End3.1
Third
6526
#25
8.40.2
8.89.0
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 2.9
5057
#12
11.31.3
7.89.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed