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Red74
637729.2
543123.0
64886.8
Blue57
420621.3
593014.7
246827.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60702040801001207457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.3
26.226.5
Auto4.3
Teleop18.0
End7.0
red by 1.3
27.90.6
30.529.9
Auto3.4
Teleop17.1
End7.4
Second
5431
#18
23.00.3
24.725.0
Auto3.8
Teleop13.4
End5.8
red by 1.7
4206
#25
21.30.6
21.220.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.9
End3.3
Third
6488
#15
6.80.3
6.36.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.2
End1.6
blue by 7.9
5930
#33
14.70.6
14.714.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
11%Rocket oddsEarned8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
94%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsEarned