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Red62
50709.7
215821.9
300528.0
Blue59
664513.3
541425.6
373521.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596302040801001201406259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.4
26.727.1
Auto4.3
Teleop19.5
End4.2
red by 2.3
5414
#24
25.60.0
26.926.9
Auto3.4
Teleop15.7
End6.5
Second
2158
#13
21.90.4
20.420.8
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End5.7
red by 0.8
3735
#28
21.00.0
19.419.3
Auto5.3
Teleop10.6
End5.2
Third
5070
#32
9.70.4
8.48.8
Auto3.5
Teleop4.9
End1.3
blue by 3.6
6645
#26
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsEarned6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned49%HAB Docking oddsEarned