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Red74
348121.0
11818.4
300528.0
Blue81
384726.0
45623.5
458726.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions697902040601001207481

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.6
27.027.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.5
End4.2
red by 1.2
26.80.2
27.127.3
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End7.1
Second
3481
#22
21.00.6
20.020.5
Auto4.9
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 5.1
3847
#14
26.00.2
24.624.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Third
118
#21
18.40.6
18.318.9
Auto3.1
Teleop10.9
End4.4
blue by 5.1
456
#7
23.50.2
23.423.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
44%Rocket oddsEarned20%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed93%HAB Docking oddsEarned