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Red32
582910.8
749414.4
310311.7
Blue48
664513.3
272318.9
333517.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425302060801003248

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7494
#10
14.40.9
15.414.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 4.5
2723
#17
18.90.1
18.718.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.0
End3.5
Second
3103
#29
11.70.9
12.411.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End2.7
blue by 5.9
3335
#19
17.60.1
17.817.6
Auto4.2
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
5829
#34
10.80.9
11.710.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.4
blue by 2.5
6645
#26
13.30.1
13.413.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed