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Red39
731211.6
615514.6
303520.9
Blue36
30291.9
348117.7
356110.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2931202535403936

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.90.2
8.58.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End3.1
red by 3.1
3481
#11
17.70.8
11.512.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End3.0
Second
14.60.1
9.29.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.5
End2.3
red by 3.8
3561
#22
10.80.5
11.612.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.0
End1.6
Third
7312
#17
11.60.2
10.210.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.2
End3.2
red by 9.7
3029
#31
1.90.8
6.16.9
Auto0.8
Teleop-0.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed