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Red24
67544.0
35459.3
589414.9
Blue14
78376.4
30285.4
57269.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2224010304050602414

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.90.3
9.08.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.7
End3.6
red by 5.5
5726
#21
9.40.9
8.47.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.7
End2.8
Second
3545
#28
9.30.3
6.15.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.9
End2.3
red by 2.9
7837
#34
6.40.6
5.85.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.2
End1.5
Third
6754
#30
4.00.3
5.65.3
Auto0.6
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 1.4
3028
#26
5.40.9
8.17.2
Auto0.8
Teleop2.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed