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Red18
575414.6
39977.0
44120.0
Blue38
324014.3
433211.6
693512.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2225102030401838

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5754
#18
14.60.4
6.46.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End2.3
red by 0.2
3240
#13
14.31.6
8.610.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.0
End3.2
Second
3997
#32
7.00.7
8.47.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 5.4
6935
#12
12.41.6
9.711.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.9
End2.8
Third
4412
#36
0.00.7
6.45.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop0.2
End0.3
blue by 11.6
11.61.6
5.57.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsEarned