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Red48
348020.4
670615.6
641121.9
Blue60
347829.4
43489.6
182816.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4754203040607080904860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#24
21.90.4
13.013.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End6.0
blue by 7.4
29.40.6
26.026.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End8.2
Second
3480
#10
20.40.2
18.018.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.4
End3.2
red by 3.9
1828
#31
16.50.7
15.416.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End3.3
Third
6706
#34
15.60.4
13.614.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.5
End1.2
red by 5.9
4348
#41
9.61.0
9.410.4
Auto4.6
Teleop2.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned