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Red53
458510.2
133922.9
337421.3
Blue64
297221.4
359821.7
592412.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50452030406070805364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.4
19.519.9
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End6.3
red by 1.2
21.71.8
16.818.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End7.8
Second
3374
#14
21.30.4
18.218.6
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End4.2
blue by 0.2
2972
#22
21.41.6
17.018.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.8
End4.6
Third
4585
#32
10.20.4
9.610.0
Auto2.2
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 2.6
5924
#28
12.91.4
8.510.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsEarned